A hot topic for investment right now is private credit. Advisors to the wealthy tell this publication there is considerable interest in the sector. What are the opportunities, and risks?
Can a good thing last?
A thought that comes up is that if there is a weight of money that eventually comes in from large institutions such as pension funds and life insurers, the influx of demand is going to force down returns, encouraging more strategies and push investors up the risk curve, leading potentially to disappointment and a period of lackluster performance. The hedge fund industry saw big institutional inflows over a decade ago, and a relatively feral beast turned into a domestic tabby cat. Could the same process repeat itself?
“When you see pension funds and others get into this you are going to see more pressure on this space,” Bob Press, founding partner, TCA, told this news service. For example, the TCA Global Credit Master Fund, one of the TCA offerings, is a predominately short-duration, absolute return fund specializing in senior secured lending and advisory services to small-caps located mainly in the US, Canada, Western Europe and Australia.
“We have capacity constraints on everything we do. We know that strategies can’t be run above certain levels,” Press said.
Wealth houses have definitely got a strong appetite for private credit, as demonstrated by the number of family office organizations at a recent US conference attended by Elissa Kluever, of Omni Partners, a specialist investment house with offices in California and London. Kluever is a partner and MD, credit & lending funds, based usually in the UK. “What I saw was a lot of interest in private credit from single family offices, multi-family offices, wealth managers in attendance, thinking of how to enter this space and grow exposure in a thoughtful way,” she told this publication.
Omni has rolled out a number of funds in the private capital space, getting interest and capital from family offices along the way. “They are desperately seeking yield without taking undue risk,” Kluever said.
Traditional areas of credit, including municipal bonds, have seen yields come under pressure, encouraging a push into the private space, she said.
“Family offices tend to be early adopters,” she said. Her firm continues to launch a fund focused on this market each year.
Asked about whether yields might be compressed if the asset class goes more “mainstream,” Kluever responded: “I’m convinced that a wall of money will come.”
Small- and medium-sized enterprise lending has the most potential to attract big institutional money; already returns on such credit on the safer end of the spectrum are starting to come down toward the 4-5 per cent range, she said. Family offices and other wealth managers could be encouraged to look to other areas, such as commodity trade finance, intellectual property, litigation finance and other sectors that aren’t as scalable,” she continued.
An issue for any investor is to realize that private credit is relatively illiquid and participants must beware liquidity mismatches of the sort recently highlighted when a number of UK-based commercial property funds shut their doors to redemptions immediately after markets were hit by the UK’s Brexit vote last June, she said. “Education is a big piece of what we do and we’re on an early journey on this,” she added.
“The drivers of [private credit] we have seen over the last three to five years haven’t changed much,” TCA’s Press said, referring to the departure of banks from some forms of business and personal lending. The interest rate environment remains as it is, he added.
TCA’s strategies are very specific with a focus on relatively short-term loans. One of its strategies, for example, targets a loan size of $1-5 million with a net return to investors of 8-12 per cent seeking a duration of mainly one or year or less; another product TCA looks to ticket sizes of $5, $10 and $15 million returns fall into the range of 15-20 per cent over maturities out to 2 to 3 years, but with a slightly different profile.
There seems little doubt that private credit is seen as a potentially busy area for wealthy clients seeking yield. As is so often the case, the early-adopter investors look set to be among the winners and it may be that the party will start to get crowded once the big institutional players come through the door